Topic: Dividend policy in multinationals and transfer pricing

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You are the newly employed Finance Director of Gala Gold Mining Ltd (GGML), a fast
growing Ghanaian mining company. The ordinary shares of GGML are listed on the Ghana
Stock Exchange. The company issued two million fresh shares in an Initial Public Offer (IPO)
to meet the minimum public shareholding requirement of the Exchange. In the prospectus
accompanying the IPO, the company proposed a stable earnings pay-out ratio of 20%.
It has been one year since the listing of GGML’s ordinary shares. At the first post-listing annual
general meeting, which was held last week, the directors recommended that the company
retains the entire profit earned in its first year as a public company to help finance profitable
mining opportunities in the Western part of Ghana. This 100% earnings retention proposal was
rejected by the shareholders, and the directors have promised to reconsider the issue and
recommend some dividends.
The directors would be meeting in the coming month to discuss the matter with the hope of
developing a sustainable dividend policy for the next three years. You are expected to make a
presentation on the company’s dividend capacity at the meeting.
You have gathered relevant extracts from the financial results of the past financial year (i.e.
financial year ending June 2015) and expected annual changes in the values over the next three
years (i.e. financial years ending June 2016, 2017 and 2018) presented in the Table below :

The company’s tax rate is expected to remain at 35%.
Required:
i) Advise the directors on THREE factors they should consider in developing an appropriate
dividend policy for GGML. (6 marks)
ii) Calculate the maximum dividends GGML can pay for the past financial year, and estimate
its dividend capacity for the next three years. Recommend an appropriate dividend payout ratio for the coming three financial years.

i) Three factors to consider when developing dividend policy:

  • Legal requirements: Dividends must be paid from distributable earnings as stipulated in the Companies Code. GGML must ensure it complies with all legal requirements.
  • Investment opportunities: GGML is a fast-growing company with high capital needs. Retaining earnings to finance profitable projects is crucial for future growth.
  • Alternative sources of finance: The availability of external financing affects how much GGML can afford to distribute as dividends. Limited access to external finance means more earnings need to be retained.

ii) Calculation of maximum dividends and dividend capacity for GGML:

  • Maximum dividend for 2015: GH¢30.1m, representing 10.2% of net income.
  • Recommendations for the next three years: Based on the FCFE projections, GGML can afford to pay dividends of GH¢55.42m in 2016, GH¢86.76m in 2017, and GH¢125.72m in 2018.
  • Recommended payout ratio: To maintain consistency, a minimum payout ratio of 15% or an average of 20% can be recommended over the three years.

 

 

Asana Ltd (Asana) is a manufacturing company based in Ghana. It is listed on Ghana’s stock exchange with a total market capitalization of GH¢400 million and 50 million shares outstanding. Its debt stock is made up of 10,000 18% bonds with a face value of GH¢100 each. Per the bond indenture, Asana is required to maintain a maximum debt-to-equity ratio of 80% and is prohibited from paying a dividend in any year unless its dividend capacity for that year is at least 45% of net income for that year. For the past three years, the company has not been able to pay dividends to its shareholders because it has not been able to meet the minimum dividend capacity requirement.

Presently, the company is planning an expansion project that could enhance its dividend capacity for the coming years. The expansion project is expected to increase profit before interest and tax by 15% above the recent figure of GH¢35 million. The directors are considering whether to use equity or debt finance to raise the GH¢50 million required by the expansion project. The amount required for the business expansion will be invested in additional property and equipment. Details of the two financing methods under consideration follow:

Method 1: Equity Finance
If equity finance is used, Asana will offer 1 new share for every 4 existing shares in a rights offer at a discount of 10% off the current market price.

Method 2: Debt Finance
If debt finance is used, Asana will raise the required GH¢50 million through a syndicated loan arrangement. The interest rate on this syndicated loan is expected to be 20%. It is assumed that the entire principal will be drawn immediately and paid back in a lump sum in 5 years’ time.

Additional information:

  1. Presently, the book value of equity is GH¢200 million, while the debt level is GH¢100 million.
  2. The recent profit before interest and tax is reported after charging depreciation of GH¢10 million and profit on disposal of non-current assets of GH¢2 million. The aggregate cost of the non-current assets sold is GH¢10 million, and their aggregate accumulated depreciation is GH¢8 million.
  3. In addition to the business expansion expenditure, GH¢2 million will be invested to maintain existing productive capacity in the coming year. This will be financed from retained earnings.
  4. Additional investment in net working capital will be 20% of the current net working capital balance of GH¢100 million.
  5. Asana pays corporate income tax at 22%.

Required:

i) Supposing equity finance is used, compute the value of a right.
(2 marks)

ii) Forecast the dividend capacity of Asana under both financing methods after the business expansion. Conclude whether Asana would be able to pay dividends to its shareholders in the coming year.
(5 marks)

iii) Compute the revised debt-to-equity ratio of Asana under both financing methods after the business expansion.
(3 marks)

iv) Use the results of the calculations above to evaluate whether equity or debt finance should be used for the planned business expansion.
(2 marks)

i) Value of a Right

ii) Dividend Capacity Forecast

Conclusion:
Asana would be able to meet its dividend capacity requirement if equity finance is used, as the dividend capacity (GH¢7.81 million) exceeds the minimum required. However, under debt financing, the dividend capacity (GH¢4.30 million) would not meet the required threshold, and the company would not be able to pay dividends.

iii) Debt-to-Equity Ratio

iv) Evaluation of Financing Methods

  • If equity finance is used, the company will have a lower debt-to-equity ratio (40%) and be able to pay dividends to shareholders, meeting both debt and dividend requirements.
  • If debt finance is used, the company will have a higher debt-to-equity ratio (75%) close to the maximum limit of 80%, leaving little room for future borrowing. Additionally, the company will not meet the minimum dividend capacity requirement.

Conclusion: Equity finance is the better option for the planned business expansion.

The amount of dividends subsidiaries pay to the parent company depends on the parent company’s dividend policies. Dividend repatriation represents significant flow for parent companies and contributes to dividend payments.

Required:
Discuss FOUR factors that affect dividend repatriation policies of Multinational Companies. (8 marks)

The following are four factors that affect dividend repatriation policies of multinational companies:

  1. Tax Implications:
    One of the key factors influencing dividend repatriation is the tax regime in both the host country (where the subsidiary is located) and the parent company’s country. Subsidiaries in countries with lower corporate tax rates may prefer to retain earnings, as repatriating dividends to the parent company could result in higher tax liabilities. Additionally, parent companies may delay repatriation to minimize tax exposure or benefit from tax deferral opportunities.
  2. Financing Needs:
    The parent company’s cash flow requirements play a critical role in determining the amount and timing of dividends repatriated. If the parent company requires funds for domestic operations, investment opportunities, or to meet dividend commitments to its own shareholders, it may instruct subsidiaries to repatriate earnings. Conversely, subsidiaries may retain earnings to reinvest in local operations if the parent company’s financing needs are minimal.
  3. Exchange Rate Risks:
    Multinational companies face the risk of unfavorable exchange rate movements when repatriating dividends. If the currency in the subsidiary’s country is depreciating against the parent company’s home currency, the timing of repatriation can affect the amount of funds transferred. To manage this risk, parent companies may strategically time dividend repatriation to maximize returns and avoid losses from currency depreciation.
  4. Regulatory and Political Considerations:
    Government regulations in the subsidiary’s country may impose restrictions or controls on capital flows, limiting the amount of profits that can be repatriated. Political risks, such as expropriation or sudden changes in economic policy, may also discourage the repatriation of dividends. In some cases, subsidiaries are required to maintain a portion of their profits within the host country to comply with local regulations or to mitigate political risks.

Recently, some multinational companies have suspended paying dividends. If, as some say, dividends are irrelevant, why have share prices plunged in most of these companies?

Required:
In your answer, outline both dividend policy theory and relevant examples.

Dividend Policy Theories:

  1. Residual Theory of Dividend:
    • The residual theory suggests that dividends should only be paid after all positive Net Present Value (NPV) investment opportunities have been funded. The focus of management should be on investment decisions, not on dividends. Under this theory, if there are no investment opportunities, the firm may distribute excess cash as dividends.
    • Since dividends are seen as a residual, their impact on share price is minimal in this view, making dividends “irrelevant” to shareholders.
  2. Dividend Irrelevance Theory (Modigliani & Miller):
    • According to Modigliani and Miller’s (MM) theory, dividend policy does not affect the value of the firm or shareholders’ wealth, as long as the firm’s investment policy is unchanged. Shareholders can create their own “homemade” dividends by selling a portion of their shares if they need cash.
    • MM argue that share price is determined by future earnings and profitability, not by dividend payouts, assuming perfect capital markets, no taxes, and no transaction costs.
  3. Dividend Relevance (Bird in Hand Theory):
    • Gordon and Lintner argue that dividends are preferred to capital gains because they are more certain (the “bird in the hand” argument). Investors prefer to receive dividends now rather than rely on uncertain future capital gains, leading to a higher valuation for firms that pay dividends regularly.
    • According to this theory, when dividends are suspended or reduced, investors might perceive the company as less stable, leading to a drop in share price.
  4. Signaling Theory:
    • Dividends can serve as a signal to investors about a firm’s future prospects. A stable or increasing dividend is often interpreted as a sign of strong future earnings. Conversely, when a company suspends or cuts dividends, it may signal to investors that the firm is facing financial difficulties or expects lower future profitability, resulting in a decline in share price.
    • This signaling effect helps explain why share prices tend to plunge when dividends are suspended.
  5. Clientele Effect:
    • Different groups of investors, or clienteles, have preferences for dividend-paying stocks versus non-dividend-paying stocks. For example, retirees and institutional investors often prefer regular dividend payments to provide stable income. When a company suspends its dividends, it may alienate this group of investors, causing them to sell their shares and driving down the share price.

Why Share Prices Plunge When Dividends are Suspended:

  • Investor Expectations: Investors often expect stable dividends from multinational companies. The suspension of dividends creates uncertainty about the company’s financial health, which leads to negative market reactions.
  • Signaling Financial Stress: When dividends are cut or suspended, investors may interpret this as a sign of financial distress, which can lead to a sell-off in shares and a significant drop in share price.
  • Preference for Dividends: Many investors, particularly income-seeking investors, rely on dividends. When dividends are suspended, they lose confidence in the company, leading to a decline in demand for the stock, which causes the price to drop.

Example:

  • A well-known case is when companies like General Electric (GE) reduced dividends during financial crises. The cut in dividends sent negative signals to the market about the company’s performance and financial stability, which resulted in a sharp decline in its share price.

(10 marks)