The directors of Carmen Ltd, a large conglomerate, are considering the acquisition of the entire share capital of Manon Ltd, a private limited company that manufactures a range of engineering machinery. Neither company has any long-term debt capital. The directors of Carmen Ltd believe that if Manon Ltd is taken over, the business risk of Carmen Ltd will not be affected.

The accounting year of Manon Ltd ends on 31 December. Its Statement of Financial Position as at 31 December 2018 is expected to be as follows:

Manon Ltd’s summarized statement of profit or loss extract for the five years to 31 December 2018 is as follows:

The following additional information is available:

i) There have been no changes in the issued share capital of Manon Ltd during the past five years.
ii) The estimated values of Manon Ltd’s PPE and inventory and work-in-progress as at 31 December 2018 are:

Replacement cost (GH¢) Realizable value (GH¢)
PPE 725,000 450,000
Inventory and work-in-progress 550,000 570,000

iii) It is expected that 2% of Manon’s debtors at 31 December 2018 will be uncollectible.
iv) The cost of capital of Carmen Ltd is 9%. The directors of Manon Ltd estimate that the shareholders of Manon Ltd require a minimum return of 12% per annum from their investment in the company.
v) The current P/E ratio of Carmen Ltd is 12. Quoted companies with business activities and profitability similar to those of Manon Ltd have P/E ratios of approximately 10, although these companies tend to be much larger than that of Manon Ltd.

Required:

Estimate the value of the total equity capital of Manon Ltd as at 31 December 2018 using each of the following bases:

a) Book value (2 marks)
b) Replacement cost (4 marks)
c) Realizable value (4 marks)
d) The Gordon dividend growth model (5 marks)
e) The P/E ratio model (5 marks)

 

a) Book value = GH¢454,100

b) Replacement cost value = GH¢454,100 + (GH¢725,000 – GH¢651,600) + (550,000 – GH¢515,900) = GH¢561,600

c) Realizable value = GH¢454,100 + (GH¢450,000 – GH¢651,600) + (GH¢570,000 – GH¢515,900) – 14,900 = GH¢291,700
Note: GH¢14,900 = 2% x GH¢745,000 (bad debts). Bad debts are assumed not to be of relevance to balance sheet and replacement cost values.

d) Gordon Dividend Growth model value:
Lowest possible value, assuming zero growth (most prudent estimate):

e) P/E ratio model:

Comparable quoted companies to Manon Ltd have a P/E ratio of 10. Manon is much smaller and being unquoted, its P/E would be less than 10, but how much less?

If we take a P/E of 5:

Allow for student assumption of P/E ratio between 4 and 9 or 10.